Comparison of Forecast Temperatures with Actual Recorded Temperature

Actual Observed (Act), WxSim (this site) Generated (WS)

Morning Forecast

Updated: 22-05-17 at 7:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3 Day +4
± 2.0° C High Low High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS
22-05-17   21   11   20   11   22   12   22   14   22   15
21-05-17 17.7 18 12.7 13   20   11   20   11   23   12   22   14
20-05-17 15.2 16 10.4 9 17.7 17 12.7 12   21   10   21   10   23   12
19-05-17 16.0 15 7.7 9 15.2 16 10.4 10 17.7 18 12.7 13   18   10   18   12
18-05-17 16.2 16 5.9 7 16.0 16 7.7 9 15.2 16 10.4 10 17.7 17 12.7 13   18   9
17-05-17 12.3 15 5.9 8 16.2 16 5.9 8 16.0 16 7.7 9 15.2 15 10.4 8 17.7 15 12.7 10
16-05-17 13.7 16 11.0 12 12.3 14 5.9 8 16.2 15 5.9 8 16.0 16 7.7 9 15.2 15 10.4 8
15-05-17 13.4 16 12.5 14 13.7 18 11.0 11 12.3 13 5.9 10 16.2 16 5.9 8 16.0 16 7.7 9
14-05-17 16.4 17 10.7 11 13.4 16 12.5 14 13.7 18 11.0 12 12.3 15 5.9 10 16.2 16 5.9 9
13-05-17 16.9 17 8.8 10 16.4 17 10.7 11 13.4 17 12.5 14 13.7 17 11.0 11 12.3 15 5.9 10
12-05-17 12.3 15 10.2 9 16.9 17 8.8 10 16.4 17 10.7 11 13.4 17 12.5 14 13.7 18 11.0 13
11-05-17 15.8 18 10.9 12 12.3 16 10.2 10 16.9 17 8.8 9 16.4 17 10.7 11 13.4 17 12.5 13
10-05-17 16.2 17 10.5 10 15.8 18 10.9 11 12.3 16 10.2 9 16.9 17 8.8 10 16.4 17 10.7 10
09-05-17 14.5 16 4.7 7 16.2 16 10.5 10 15.8 17 10.9 11 12.3 17 10.2 11 16.9 17 8.8 10
Results Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS
# Succ 8 11 8 10 8 9 6 7 5 5
% Succ   61.5   84.6   66.7   83.3   72.7   81.8   60.0   70.0   55.6   55.6
Ave Error   1.4   1.2   1.4   0.9   1.5   1.1   1.6   1.4   1.6   2.0
Net Error   1.2   0.7   1.2   0.6   1.3   0.8   1.4   0.9   0.9   0.7
Std Dev   1.0   0.6   1.5   0.8   1.5   1.2   1.5   1.4   1.5   1.6

Afternoon Forecast

Updated: 22-05-17 at 1:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3 Day +4
± 2.0° C High Low High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS
22-05-17   21   11   19   11   22   12   21   12   21   15
21-05-17 17.7 17 12.7 12   20   11   20   11   21   12   22   13
20-05-17 15.2 15 10.4 9 17.7 18 12.7 12   21   10   22   11   24   12
19-05-17 16.0 14 7.7 8 15.2 16 10.4 10 17.7 17 12.7 13   19   9   17   12
18-05-17 16.2 16 5.9 6 16.0 16 7.7 9 15.2 16 10.4 10 17.7 17 12.7 13   17   10
17-05-17 12.3 14 5.9 8 16.2 17 5.9 8 16.0 16 7.7 9 15.2 15 10.4 8 17.7 17 12.7 12
16-05-17 13.7 15 11.0 12 12.3 14 5.9 8 16.2 15 5.9 7 16.0 16 7.7 8 15.2 15 10.4 8
15-05-17 13.4 15 12.5 14 13.7 18 11.0 13 12.3 15 5.9 10 16.2 17 5.9 8 16.0 16 7.7 10
14-05-17 16.4 17 10.7 11 13.4 17 12.5 14 13.7 17 11.0 11 12.3 15 5.9 10 16.2 17 5.9 9
13-05-17 16.9 17 8.8 9 16.4 17 10.7 11 13.4 17 12.5 13 13.7 17 11.0 12 12.3 14 5.9 9
12-05-17 12.3 14 10.2 10 16.9 17 8.8 10 16.4 17 10.7 11 13.4 17 12.5 14 13.7 18 11.0 13
11-05-17 15.8 17 10.9 11 12.3 14 10.2 9 16.9 17 8.8 9 16.4 17 10.7 11 13.4 19 12.5 12
10-05-17 16.2 16 10.5 10 15.8 19 10.9 10 12.3 16 10.2 10 16.9 17 8.8 10 16.4 17 10.7 10
09-05-17 14.5 15 4.7 6 16.2 17 10.5 10 15.8 17 10.9 11 12.3 16 10.2 9 16.9 18 8.8 10
Results Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS
# Succ 13 12 9 10 7 10 6 7 7 5
% Succ   100.0   92.3   75.0   83.3   63.6   90.9   60.0   70.0   77.8   55.6
Ave Error   0.9   0.7   1.5   1.2   1.6   0.8   1.6   1.4   1.7   1.8
Net Error   0.4   0.3   1.5   0.6   1.3   0.7   1.4   0.7   1.5   0.8
Std Dev   0.7   0.6   1.4   0.8   1.4   1.1   1.4   1.4   1.5   1.5

Evening Forecast

Updated: 22-05-17 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3 Day +4
± 2.0° C Low High Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS
22-05-17   11   19   12   23   12   21   12   21   15   21
21-05-17 12.7 13 17.7 20   11   20   11   21   12   22   13   22
20-05-17 10.4 9 15.2 18 12.7 12 17.7 21   10   22   11   24   12   23
19-05-17 7.7 8 16.0 16 10.4 10 15.2 17 12.7 13 17.7 19   9   17   12   20
18-05-17 5.9 7 16.2 16 7.7 9 16.0 16 10.4 10 15.2 17 12.7 13 17.7 17   10   17
17-05-17 5.9 8 12.3 17 5.9 8 16.2 16 7.7 9 16.0 15 10.4 8 15.2 17 12.7 12 17.7 17
16-05-17 11.0 12 13.7 14 5.9 8 12.3 15 5.9 7 16.2 16 7.7 8 16.0 15 10.4 8 15.2 15
15-05-17 12.5 13 13.4 18 11.0 12 13.7 15 5.9 10 12.3 17 5.9 8 16.2 16 7.7 9 16.0 16
14-05-17 10.7 11 16.4 17 12.5 14 13.4 17 11.0 11 13.7 15 5.9 10 12.3 16 5.9 9 16.2 16
13-05-17 8.8 9 16.9 17 10.7 11 16.4 17 12.5 13 13.4 17 11.0 12 13.7 14 5.9 9 12.3 16
12-05-17 10.2 10 12.3 17 8.8 10 16.9 17 10.7 11 16.4 17 12.5 13 13.4 18 11.0 13 13.7 16
11-05-17 10.9 11 15.8 14 10.2 9 12.3 17 8.8 9 16.9 17 10.7 11 16.4 19 12.5 12 13.4 20
10-05-17 10.5 10 16.2 19 10.9 10 15.8 16 10.2 10 12.3 17 8.8 9 16.9 17 10.7 10 16.4 16
09-05-17 4.7 6 14.5 16 10.5 10 16.2 17 10.9 11 15.8 16 10.2 9 12.3 18 8.8 10 16.9 17
Results Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS
# Succ 12 7 10 8 10 8 7 6 6 6
% Succ   92.3   53.8   83.3   66.7   90.9   72.7   70.0   60.0   66.7   66.7
Ave Error   0.7   2.0   1.1   1.6   0.8   1.8   1.2   2.1   1.7   1.6
Net Error   0.4   1.7   0.5   1.6   0.7   1.6   0.5   1.7   0.7   1.2
Std Dev   0.6   1.8   0.7   1.6   1.1   1.5   1.4   1.7   1.4   1.5

Night Forecast

Updated: 22-05-17 at 9:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3 Day +4
± 2.0° C Low High Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS
22-05-17   11   19   12   21   12   22   13   22   15   22
21-05-17 12.7 12 20.8 21   11   20   10   23   11   22   14   23
20-05-17 10.4 9 17.7 18 12.7 12 20.8 20   10   19   11   23   12   22
19-05-17 7.7 9 15.2 16 10.4 10 17.7 18 12.7 13 20.8 18   10   19   12   21
18-05-17 5.9 7 16.0 16 7.7 9 15.2 16 10.4 10 17.7 17 12.7 13 20.8 17   10   15
17-05-17 5.9 8 16.2 16 5.9 7 16.0 16 7.7 9 15.2 15 10.4 9 17.7 17 12.7 12 20.8 17
16-05-17 11.0 12 12.3 14 5.9 9 16.2 16 5.9 7 16.0 16 7.7 9 15.2 15 10.4 9 17.7 16
15-05-17 12.5 12 13.7 16 11.0 13 12.3 14 5.9 9 16.2 16 5.9 9 16.0 16 7.7 8 15.2 16
14-05-17 10.7 11 13.4 17 12.5 14 13.7 19 11.0 11 12.3 14 5.9 9 16.2 17 5.9 7 16.0 17
13-05-17 8.8 9 16.4 17 10.7 11 13.4 17 12.5 13 13.7 17 11.0 12 12.3 15 5.9 10 16.2 16
12-05-17 10.2 10 16.9 17 8.8 10 16.4 17 10.7 11 13.4 16 12.5 13 13.7 17 11.0 13 12.3 16
11-05-17 10.9 12 12.3 14 10.2 10 16.9 17 8.8 10 16.4 17 10.7 11 13.4 18 12.5 12 13.7 21
10-05-17 10.5 10 15.8 18 10.9 11 12.3 16 10.2 9 16.9 16 8.8 10 16.4 17 10.7 11 13.4 17
09-05-17 4.7 7 16.2 17 10.5 10 15.8 17 10.9 11 12.3 16 10.2 9 16.9 17 8.8 10 16.4 17
Results Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS
# Succ 11 10 11 9 10 7 8 6 8 5
% Succ   84.6   76.9   91.7   75.0   90.9   63.6   80.0   60.0   88.9   55.6
Ave Error   1.0   1.1   1.0   1.5   0.9   1.5   1.3   1.7   1.3   2.5
Net Error   0.5   1.1   0.7   1.4   0.6   0.6   0.8   0.7   0.7   1.3
Std Dev   0.6   1.1   0.9   1.7   0.9   1.3   1.2   1.5   1.0   2.1