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Comparison of Forecast Temperatures with Actual Recorded Temperature

Actual Observed (Act), WxSim (this site) Generated (WS)

Morning Forecast

Updated: 03-05-19 at 7:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3 Day +4
± 2.0° C High Low High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS
03-05-19   16   4   13   2   14   3   14   7   12   9
02-05-19 13.3 14 5.7 6   15   6   13   2   14   4   14   7
01-05-19 17.6 13 5.7 6 13.3 13 5.7 8   16   5   13   3   14   4
30-04-19 16.3 16 8.2 9 17.6 13 5.7 6 13.3 14 5.7 8   15   5   13   3
29-04-19 14.7 15 7.5 9 16.3 16 8.2 9 17.6 12 5.7 6 13.3 14 5.7 8   16   3
28-04-19 13.1 13 9.7 9 14.7 13 7.5 8 16.3 16 8.2 9 17.6 14 5.7 6 13.3 16 5.7 8
27-04-19 12.7 11 7.4 7 13.1 13 9.7 9 14.7 13 7.5 8 16.3 13 8.2 8 17.6 15 5.7 7
26-04-19 12.7 12 6.3 6 12.7 11 7.4 7 13.1 13 9.7 9 14.7 12 7.5 8 16.3 14 8.2 9
25-04-19 15.3 14 8.9 8 12.7 12 6.3 8 12.7 11 7.4 6 13.1 15 9.7 8 14.7 14 7.5 7
24-04-19 13.9 13 8.7 8 15.3 13 8.9 8 12.7 11 6.3 7 12.7 12 7.4 6 13.1 15 9.7 7
23-04-19 19.5 21 10.7 11 13.9 13 8.7 8 15.3 13 8.9 8 12.7 15 6.3 8 12.7 12 7.4 8
22-04-19 20.2 18 13.9 12 19.5 19 10.7 10 13.9 14 8.7 8 15.3 13 8.9 8 12.7 13 6.3 8
21-04-19 24.0 20 7.6 9 20.2 19 13.9 12 19.5 19 10.7 9 13.9 14 8.7 8 15.3 13 8.9 8
20-04-19 25.7 21 8.9 10 24.0 20 7.6 9 20.2 19 13.9 11 19.5 19 10.7 9 13.9 14 8.7 7
Results Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS
# Succ 9 13 9 11 9 9 5 9 5 7
% Succ   69.2   100.0   75.0   91.7   81.8   81.8   50.0   90.0   55.6   77.8
Ave Error   1.8   0.8   1.5   1.0   1.4   1.2   1.8   1.1   1.5   1.4
Net Error   -1.4   0.1   -1.5   0.1   -1.3   -0.3   -0.8   -0.2   -0.4   0.1
Std Dev   1.4   0.5   1.4   0.7   1.6   0.8   1.5   0.9   1.3   1.1

Afternoon Forecast

Updated: 02-05-19 at 1:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3 Day +4
± 2.0° C High Low High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS
02-05-19   14   7   15   4   13   2   14   5   15   7
01-05-19 17.6 18 5.7 6   14   6   16   5   13   3   14   5
30-04-19 16.3 17 8.2 9 17.6 14 5.7 6   13   6   16   4   13   3
29-04-19 14.7 15 7.5 8 16.3 16 8.2 9 17.6 14 5.7 6   13   8   15   3
28-04-19 13.1 13 9.7 9 14.7 12 7.5 8 16.3 16 8.2 9 17.6 15 5.7 7   15   9
27-04-19 12.7 13 7.4 6 13.1 13 9.7 8 14.7 11 7.5 8 16.3 15 8.2 7 17.6 15 5.7 6
26-04-19 12.7 12 6.3 7 12.7 11 7.4 7 13.1 13 9.7 9 14.7 11 7.5 7 16.3 16 8.2 9
25-04-19 15.3 15 8.9 8 12.7 12 6.3 7 12.7 11 7.4 7 13.1 14 9.7 8 14.7 16 7.5 7
24-04-19 13.9 13 8.7 9 15.3 14 8.9 8 12.7 11 6.3 7 12.7 12 7.4 7 13.1 14 9.7 8
23-04-19 19.5 20 10.7 11 13.9 13 8.7 8 15.3 14 8.9 7 12.7 15 6.3 8 12.7 13 7.4 8
22-04-19 20.2 19 13.9 12 19.5 19 10.7 10 13.9 14 8.7 8 15.3 13 8.9 9 12.7 12 6.3 7
21-04-19 24.0 24 7.6 11 20.2 20 13.9 13 19.5 20 10.7 13 13.9 16 8.7 9 15.3 13 8.9 9
20-04-19 25.7 24 8.9 10 24.0 21 7.6 9 20.2 19 13.9 11 19.5 20 10.7 11 13.9 14 8.7 8
19-04-19 23.1 22 10.8 10 25.7 21 8.9 10 24.0 20 7.6 9 20.2 19 13.9 10 19.5 19 10.7 12
Results Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS
# Succ 13 12 8 12 8 9 5 9 7 9
% Succ   100.0   92.3   66.7   100.0   72.7   81.8   50.0   90.0   77.8   100.0
Ave Error   0.6   1.0   1.6   0.8   1.7   1.1   1.8   1.1   1.0   0.7
Net Error   -0.3   0.1   -1.6   -0.0   -1.5   -0.1   -0.6   -0.4   -0.4   0.1
Std Dev   0.5   0.9   1.3   0.5   1.4   0.8   1.4   0.8   1.0   0.7

Evening Forecast

Updated: 02-05-19 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3 Day +4
± 2.0° C Low High Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS
02-05-19   7   15   4   13   2   14   5   15   7   13
01-05-19 5.7 6 17.6 14   6   16   5   13   3   14   5   14
30-04-19 8.2 9 16.3 14 5.7 6 17.6 13   6   16   3   13   3   13
29-04-19 7.5 8 14.7 16 8.2 9 16.3 13 5.7 6 17.6 14   8   15   3   13
28-04-19 9.7 9 13.1 12 7.5 8 14.7 16 8.2 9 16.3 15 5.7 7 17.6 15   9   14
27-04-19 7.4 6 12.7 12 9.7 8 13.1 11 7.5 8 14.7 15 8.2 7 16.3 15 5.7 6 17.6 17
26-04-19 6.3 6 12.7 11 7.4 7 12.7 13 9.7 9 13.1 11 7.5 7 14.7 16 8.2 9 16.3 15
25-04-19 8.9 8 15.3 12 6.3 7 12.7 11 7.4 7 12.7 14 9.7 8 13.1 16 7.5 7 14.7 17
24-04-19 8.7 9 13.9 14 8.9 8 15.3 11 6.3 7 12.7 12 7.4 7 12.7 14 9.7 8 13.1 16
23-04-19 10.7 11 19.5 13 8.7 8 13.9 14 8.9 7 15.3 15 6.3 8 12.7 13 7.4 8 12.7 15
22-04-19 13.9 12 20.2 19 10.7 10 19.5 14 8.7 8 13.9 13 8.9 9 15.3 12 6.3 7 12.7 15
21-04-19 7.6 10 24.0 19 13.9 13 20.2 20 10.7 13 19.5 16 8.7 9 13.9 13 8.9 9 15.3 14
20-04-19 8.9 10 25.7 20 7.6 10 24.0 19 13.9 12 20.2 20 10.7 11 19.5 14 8.7 8 13.9 12
19-04-19 10.8 10 23.1 22 8.9 10 25.7 20 7.6 9 24.0 19 13.9 10 20.2 19 10.7 12 19.5 13
Results Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS
# Succ 12 7 11 5 10 7 9 6 9 4
% Succ   92.3   53.8   91.7   41.7   90.9   63.6   90.0   60.0   100.0   44.4
Ave Error   0.9   2.6   0.9   2.8   1.1   1.7   1.1   2.1   0.7   2.4
Net Error   -0.0   -2.4   0.0   -2.6   0.0   -1.5   -0.4   -0.9   0.1   -0.2
Std Dev   0.7   2.1   0.5   2.1   0.7   1.3   0.8   1.5   0.7   1.9

Night Forecast

Updated: 02-05-19 at 9:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3 Day +4
± 2.0° C Low High Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS
02-05-19   7   15   4   13   2   14   4   13   6   13
01-05-19 5.7 6 13.3 14   7   16   5   13   2   15   4   15
30-04-19 8.2 9 17.6 14 5.7 6 13.3 13   5   15   3   12   2   14
29-04-19 7.5 8 16.3 16 8.2 9 17.6 12 5.7 6 13.3 14   8   14   3   13
28-04-19 9.7 10 14.7 13 7.5 9 16.3 15 8.2 9 17.6 12 5.7 7 13.3 13   7   13
27-04-19 7.4 7 13.1 13 9.7 9 14.7 11 7.5 8 16.3 14 8.2 8 17.6 15 5.7 7 13.3 17
26-04-19 6.3 7 12.7 11 7.4 6 13.1 13 9.7 9 14.7 13 7.5 7 16.3 16 8.2 8 17.6 16
25-04-19 8.9 8 12.7 12 6.3 6 12.7 11 7.4 7 13.1 13 9.7 9 14.7 10 7.5 8 16.3 14
24-04-19 8.7 8 15.3 14 8.9 8 12.7 11 6.3 8 12.7 12 7.4 6 13.1 16 9.7 8 14.7 13
23-04-19 10.7 12 13.9 14 8.7 8 15.3 14 8.9 6 12.7 12 6.3 8 12.7 13 7.4 6 13.1 17
22-04-19 13.9 13 19.5 19 10.7 11 13.9 14 8.7 9 15.3 13 8.9 9 12.7 12 6.3 7 12.7 12
21-04-19 7.6 10 20.2 19 13.9 13 19.5 20 10.7 12 13.9 14 8.7 9 15.3 13 8.9 9 12.7 14
20-04-19 8.9 11 24.0 21 7.6 10 20.2 20 13.9 12 19.5 19 10.7 9 13.9 14 8.7 9 15.3 13
19-04-19 10.8 11 25.7 22 8.9 10 24.0 20 7.6 9 20.2 19 13.9 11 19.5 19 10.7 11 13.9 15
Results Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS Act WS
# Succ 11 10 11 9 10 8 9 6 9 5
% Succ   84.6   76.9   91.7   75.0   90.9   72.7   90.0   60.0   100.0   55.6
Ave Error   0.9   1.4   0.9   1.7   1.1   1.4   1.1   1.5   0.7   2.1
Net Error   0.4   -1.3   0.1   -1.6   0.0   -1.3   -0.4   -0.8   -0.0   0.2
Std Dev   0.7   1.1   0.6   1.7   0.9   1.6   0.8   1.6   0.7   1.6